Can Labour win here?

Eastleigh Labour Party have used their latest election leaflet to hit back at back at Lib Dem jibes that ‘Labour can’t win in Eastleigh’ and that ‘Labour always come last’ in local polls.

The Lib Dems have issued a series of campaign leaflets insisting that Thursdays local vote in Eastleigh’s three town wards will be a ‘two horse race‘ between the Conservatives and Lib Dems.

All the literature Lib Dems are distributing misleadingly feature a bar graph showing the 2010 General Election result for the entire constituency rather than the 2011 result for the Borough Ward.

Labour is shown on the graph as only polling 10% and in third place.

In response Labour’s graph published on their latest leaflet show them firmly in second place.

Burt which party is telling the truth?

Can Labour Win here?

A look at the council website shows that in 2011 Labour came SECOND in Eastleigh Central and Eastleigh South and third only in Eastleigh North.

In Eastleigh South only 176 votes separated Labour’s Pete Luffman from Lib Dem winner Paul Bicknell with Labour taking a healthy 33% of the vote while in Eastleigh South Chris Gilkes polled 24% of the vote – as Labour claim in their leaflet -to take the second spot.

Even in Eastleigh North, where Labour came third they still managed to capture a 21% share and not the measly 10% the Lib Dems suggest.

Meanwhile the latest ‘You Gov’ poll shows National support for the Labour Party at 40% with LIb Dems in third place on 11% while the press association has reported:

“Liberal Democrats are braced to lose hundreds of council seats when voters go to the polls on Thursday”

An online poll which shows how voters rate party policies (which was featured on the Eastleigh News website) showed that 22.5% of local voters preferred Labour Policies as opposed to 14% who preferred the policies of the Lib Dems.

Comparing the results of Eastleigh’s 2010 and 2011 borough elections the Labour share of the vote doubled from 9% to 18% while support for the Lib Dems slipped by 5% to 46%.

see also:

Lib Dems support slips in Eastleigh

 
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  10 comments for “Can Labour win here?

  1. Stephen Slominski
    May 1, 2012 at 1:20 am

    Well, it looks as though Labour could win in Eastleigh, dispite the LD spin.

    It would be good to Pete Luffman sitting on ELAC again.

    A 100% Lib Dem area committee in Eastleigh is hardly conducive to democracy.

    A couple of Labour faces should help redress the balance.

  2. May 1, 2012 at 8:21 am

    And a happy May Day to all in the labour movement.

  3. May 1, 2012 at 12:54 pm

    PF for PM

  4. Rory
    May 1, 2012 at 4:09 pm

    One of the Lib Dem councillor said:”The character of the Aviary Estate is really special and a new policy in the Council’s Plan will save green spaces AND the unique style of local building.I know he will change his mind.
    But we all know that the Labour Candidate Peter Luffman has aleady joined the fight to
    help the local community to Save our Countryside.

    Labour will win South Ward.
    Rory

  5. May 1, 2012 at 4:40 pm

    The Lib Dems are controlling Eastleigh with roughly only a quarter of the the local residents supporting them – This is due to the low turn out and the anti-lib dem majority being spread across other parties. The best we can all do is keep telling the 70% of people who don’t bother to go to the polls, just how important it is for them to vote and not let apathy lead us blindly to the destruction of the town we all love. Ironically in our situation, the antiquated voting FPTP voting system works in the Lib Dems favour. I think we should all get together and pull our resources to fight the overdevelopment – starting with getting Sainsburys to scale back their plans and saving Stoneham Park. If you’re up for this you can always email me at stuartjebbitt@hotmail.com

  6. May 1, 2012 at 9:19 pm

    Stuart, this is not Sainsburys plan at all. Its a EBC plan that is part of their bigger 5 year plan put in place by the Fib Dems and the Fib Dems just love the fact that it is Sainsburys taking the heat for the public anger over the planning application.

  7. Charlie
    May 1, 2012 at 11:47 pm

    Stuart, this is not Sainsburys plan at all. Its a EBC plan that is part of their bigger 5 year plan put in place by the Fib Dems and the Fib Dems just love the fact that it is Sainsburys taking the heat for the public anger over the planning application.

    Thanks for that insight, Matthew. That would explain why Lib Dem literature has been carefully worded to outline the plans while staying just shy of supporting it. As I have said before, I’m in favour of an expanded Sainsbury’s, but I’m not in favour of slight of hand.

    I have also been conscious of Keith House’s reliance on scare tactics to woo Labour voters in a Keep the Tories Out at Any Cost strategy. It rings hollow now they are in Co-coalition in Downing Street and gives the impression that they have the right to rule.

    Democracy must be based on parties laying out their stall of firmly held beliefs and cogent policies, and persuading us that we should buy into their way of thinking. “Please vote for us because we are not the others” doesn’t feel like democracy to me, and wouldn’t no matter which party was touting it.

  8. Peter Stewart
    May 2, 2012 at 8:39 am

    Apathy is a symptom. People realize it makes no real difference who they vote for so they don’t bother voting.

    If you vote Labour or Conservative you get the same EU policies and Britain continues declining.

    Most of our law is now made by our economic competitors in Europe. That is insanity!

    A worker in a plastics factory once told me he thought it was better to let European politicians govern us!

    But letting our EU competitors govern us means we lose our manufacturing base. See how much of our industry has drifted to Germany and France.

    It will make no difference me saying these words. Nothing will wake up the British people to what their ruling elite are doing to them. Greece has woken up, so has France, and Germany and the other Eurozone countries.

    Until people vote UKIP in their masses, the decline will continue.

    • Charlie
      May 2, 2012 at 9:22 pm

      Sorry, Peter, but voting for a one trick pony (especially in the local elections) will not do us any favours. The UK does not need to be out of the EU, but the EU does need serious reform and reduction.

      So what if one utopian morning you woke up to find Farage resident in 10 Downing Street? What would the UK look like 5 years later? Persuade me. What would the landscape of our education system, healthcare, defence, justice, foreign policy, etc be like? Persude me.

  9. Charlie
    May 3, 2012 at 8:54 pm

    So what if one utopian morning you woke up to find Farage resident in 10 Downing Street? What would the UK look like 5 years later? Persuade me. What would the landscape of our education system, healthcare, defence, justice, foreign policy, etc be like? Persude me.

    Apologies Peter. That turned into a rant that should never have been. Sorry about that.

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